Independent research & execution
EST. 2026
Systematic thinking.
Disciplined execution.
Zimmër develops algorithmic trading systems for prediction markets, connecting market observation, explicit decision rules, and controlled execution.
View execution report01 — Execution
Recorded market activity
An aggregate view of recorded live fills, drawn from the exchange execution ledger.
- Unique live fills
- 45
- Orders with fills
- 44
- Calendar dates
- 5
Fixed historical snapshot. September 29 includes activity through the capture time.
Daily fill activity
Fill events / Central Time02 — Operating approach
A defined process.
An accountable record.
Each stage connects a trading decision to the conditions, controls, and exchange records behind it.
-
01
Observe & evaluate
Collect market prices and timing. Evaluate candidates against explicit strategy rules.
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02
Control exposure
Apply risk budgets, exposure limits, and operator permissions before an order is submitted.
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03
Execute & reconcile
Track order status and synchronize exchange fills into the ledger to establish what actually traded.
03 — Research
The work behind
the system.
Working Paper 04 · Published 7 November 2026
Learning to Keep the Edge
The first seven weeks of Zimmër: reconciled Kalshi results, the V3 reversal, Roll and Tide’s paper record, and the next market-making study.
Read the paperEarlier papers include The Price of a Winning Streak, How an 88% Win Rate Lost Money and Building a Research Process for Energy Markets.